Intel says the production of its next-generation chips will be set back until 2022, following years of delays getting its current-generation chips on sale.The company said it was exploring “contingency plans” such as having third-party manufacturers produce some of its products.
In June, Apple said it would transition its Mac computers away from Intel processors and design its own chips.Industry experts are saying that Intel are risking leaving a gap for competitors to step into.
The reason? Well Intel said it had identified a “defect” in its manufacturing process that led to the new delay.
So what exactly is a next-generation chip?
Chip-makers try to miniaturise their technology and processes so that they can pack more transistors on to a single silicon chip and doing so typically creates faster processors which are more energy-efficient.This can give smartphones and laptops a longer battery life, and reduce energy consumption by data centres.
Intel’s current-generation chips are described as 10nm (nanometre) chips, and its next-generation will be 7nm chips.These numbers used to be a measure of the tiny spaces in between transistors on a chip, but today they are simply marketing terms.
“Today, the metric commonly used by the experts to compare two different technologies is the transistor density,” said Dr Ian Cutress, senior CPU editor of the technology news site AnandTech, which reported Intel’s announcement.Intel’s most dense 10nm designs are broadly equivalent to the most dense 7nm designs by rival chip-maker TSMC, he said.
Is Intel’s delay significant? Well, a delay in producing next-generation chips could give rivals a head start.
There are two main parts to Intel’s business: it designs computer chips and manufactures them. Most of its rivals only do one or the other.
TSMC simply manufactures chips designed by other companies, such as AMD and Apple.
“During most of the 2010s, one of Intel’s key marketable industry-leading features was that it was ahead of its competitors in manufacturing technology,” said DrCutress. “In recent years, Intel has been unable to develop new leading manufacturing technologies on its original timescales.”
While Intel’s current-generation 10nm chips were delayed by more than two years, TSMC was shipping its equivalent 7nm chips in bulk to major customers such as Apple, AMD, Huawei and Qualcomm.
AMD already has a generation of current-generation chips on sale, Intel has no answer for similar products in desktop computing, and is only promising a small launch of its first generation 10nm server processors by the end of the year.
With all the delays Intel had on its 10nm production, its new 7nm chips were meant to solve that issue and make 10nm more of a footnote in Intel’s history. The delay to 7nm implies Intel is having issues with the development.
If Intel fails to execute properly, then it leaves a large hole for its main competition to step into, as well as eroding 20 years of confidence in Intel’s ability to deliver high-performance and high-efficiency computing products, which would be nothing short of disastrous for Intel